on #stopthespread and school closures

On the decision to keep schools open in Australia yesterday:

It’s not that kids don’t catch covid. It seems that everyone catches covid.

So, why isn’t school-based community spread common?

Ok, what do we know?

…and that’s why.

I said this yesterday but will repeat: Aside from age, covid mortality rates are most consistently correlated with the availability of critical care. Australian schools, rather than being closed, were today turned into optional TEMPORARY CONTAINMENT facilities to avoid a sudden influx of critical cases, and to attempt to avert overheating our response systems in the early stages of our collective battle with covid.

What about the teachers though?

So, tldr:

Instead of going “Full China Protocol” the Australian State and Federal governments are attempting a graceful shutdown, with the goal of mitigating the kinds of chaos that would increase the rate of spread into critical-risk communities. It’s a counterintuitive “best bad idea” in a situation where all solutions are bad, and i don’t like it - but i don’t think liking it is the point.

The point is to:

  1. Decide whether or not you can contain your kids, then
  2. Decide whether or not you want to send them to school tomorrow.

…For my family, we are very fortunate to be able to contain our kids, and we won’t be sending them to school even though we could.

…For a very large number of folks at least one of these things will be difficult to decide on.

Stay safe,


Casey John Ellis

Casey John Ellis

founder bugcrowd and disclose.io, keynote speaker, security strategist

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